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Estimating pure inflation in the Polish economy
(2009-06-28)
This paper uses a restricted factor model to estimate the HICP index excluding relative prices changes. The index thus obtained, hereinafter referred to as pure inflation, demonstrates stronger relationship to the central ...
Would it have paid to be in the eurozone?
(2012)
Giving up an independent monetary policy and a
exible exchange rate are the key
sources of costs and bene ts entailed to joining a monetary union. In this paper we
analyze their ex post impact on the stability of the ...
International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
(2020-05)
The economic literature has for a long time been looking for explanations of a very strong international correlation of business cycles. This paper shows empirically that common fluctuations can to some degree be the effect ...
Crisis, contagion and international policy spillovers under foreign ownership of banks
(2016-03)
This paper checks how international spillovers of shocks and policies are modified when banks are foreign owned. To this end we build a two-country macroeconomic model with banking sectors that are owned by residents of ...
Is Poland at risk of the zero lower bound?
(2016-07)
In early 2015, the policy (open market operations) rate of Narodowy Bank Polski was reduced to an all-time low of 1.5%. At the same time, prices of consumer goods and services dropped by 1.5% in year-on-year terms. This ...
The redistributive power of business cycle fluctuations
(2026-02)
How do business cycles redistribute between generations, what are the redistribution channels and what role is played by monetary policy? We construct a New-Keynesian life-cycle model and estimate it for the United States. ...
Why may large economies suffer more at the zero lower bound?
(2016-06)
This paper compares the consequences of hitting the zero lower bound in small open and large closed economies. I costruct a two-economy New Kenynesian model and calibrate it so that one economy is small and open and the ...
Monetary and fiscal policy in a two-country model with behavioral expectations
(2025-03)
We check how monetary and fiscal policies (in particular their open-economy dimensions) are affected by expectations being behavioral in the spirit of Gabaix (2020). We first show that the data strongly favor this setting ...
For whom the bill tolls: redistributive consequences of a monetary-fiscal stimulus
(2024-02)
During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments in the euro area sharply increased spending, while the European Central Bank eased financing conditions. We use this episode to assess how such a concerted monetary-fiscal stimulus ...
Demographics and the natural interest rate in the euro area
(2020-07)
We investigate the impact of demographics on the natural rate of interest (NRI) in the euro area, with a particular focus on the role played by economic openness, migrations and pension system design. To this end, we ...












