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The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics. A structural VAR investigation 

Szafranek, Karol; Rubaszek, Michał (2024-03)
The Russian invasion of Ukraine triggered severe disruptions in the European energy markets and caused significant shifts in global natural gas flows. In this paper we investigate to what extent this European shock has ...
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Global Value Chains and Equilibrium Exchange Rate: Evidence from Central European Economies 

Kuziemska-Pawlak, Kamila; Mućk, Jakub (2024-03)
This paper proposes an extension of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) model that accounts for the trade linkages within the Global Value Chains (GVCs). In the modified FEER framework, both backward and forward ...
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Larger crises cost more: impact of banking sector instability on output growth 

Serwa, Dobromił (2008-03-25)
We propose a method for calculating the macroeconomic costs of banking crises that controls for the downward impact of recessions on banking activity. In contrast to earlier research, we estimate the cost of crises based ...
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Money and prices in the Polish economy. Seasonal cointegration approach 

Kotłowski, Jacek (2005-05-22)
The paper presents the analysis of the long run causality behaviour between money and prices in the Polish economy during the transition period. The study makes use of the monetary inflation model known as the P-star model, ...
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Verification of selected market microstructure hypotheses for a Warsaw Stock Exchange traded stock 

Orlowski, Piotr (2009-06-28)
This paper uses a restricted factor model to estimate the HICP index excluding relative prices changes. The index thus obtained, hereinafter referred to as pure inflation, demonstrates stronger relationship to This paper ...
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Price-wage system with taxation: multivariate cointegration analysis 

Welfe, Aleksander; Kębłowski, Piotr (2006)
The paper investigates the price system and the wage equation in the presence of taxes. Price formation is analysed at three levels: producer’s prices, trade in consumer goods and, separately, in services, and at the ...
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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies 

Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek (2020-05)
The economic literature has for a long time been looking for explanations of a very strong international correlation of business cycles. This paper shows empirically that common fluctuations can to some degree be the effect ...
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Natural Rate of Interest in a Small Open Economy with Application to CEE Countries 

Stefański, Maciej (2023-09)
This paper extends the Laubach-Williams (2003) framework, which is widely used to estimate the natural rate of interest, to make it more suitable for studying small open economies. The model is augmented with consumer ...
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Does a bank levy increase frictions on the interbank market? 

Hryckiewicz, Aneta; Mielus, Piotr; Skorulska, Karolina; Snarska, Małgorzata (2018-03)
The crisis has shown that a drop in liquidity, as well as the shortened maturity of interbank transactions, has caused many problems for banks. We analyze how the introduction of a bank levy on bank assets ...
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The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets 

Szafranek, Karol; Rubaszek, Michał; Uddin, Gazi Salah (2023-11)
We quantify intraday volatility connectedness between oil and key financial assets and assess how it is related to uncertainty and sentiment measures. For that purpose, we integrate the well-known spillover methodology ...
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AuthorRubaszek, Michał (4)Szafranek, Karol (4)Kotłowski, Jacek (3)Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał (2)Haug, Alfred (1)Hryckiewicz, Aneta (1)Kuziemska-Pawlak, Kamila (1)Kębłowski, Piotr (1)Mielus, Piotr (1)Mućk, Jakub (1)... View MoreSubject
C32 (14)
Bayesian inference (3)C11 (3)Q31 (3)animal spirits (2)business cycle (2)E31 (2)E32 (2)E43 (2)F44 (2)... View MoreDate Issued2020 - 2024 (8)2010 - 2019 (1)2005 - 2009 (5)Has File(s)Yes (14)

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