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International confidence spillovers and business cycles in small open economies
(2020-05)
The economic literature has for a long time been looking for explanations of a very strong international correlation of business cycles. This paper shows empirically that common fluctuations can to some degree be the effect ...
International information flows, sentiments and cross-country business cycle fluctuations
(2020-03)
Business cycles are strongly correlated between countries. One possible explanation (beyond traditional economic linkages like trade or finance) is that consumer or business sentiments spread over boarders and a ect cyclical ...